“They’ve put up some big numbers on us. We have to control that.”

Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Mark Buehrle throws against the New York Yankees as the roof of Rogers Centre is open for the first time this season during fifth inning American League baseball action in Toronto, Wednesday, May 6, 2015. (Frank Gunn/The Canadian Press via AP) MANDATORY CREDIT

Rogers Centre will be rocking this evening north of the border, as the Yankees and Blue Jays meet in this highly-anticipated showdown for the division crown. The Yankees have right-hander Adam Warren heading to the mound. Toronto will give the ball to left-hander David Price.

Playoff picture: It’s all right here in front of you. The Yankees (82-66) trail the Blue Jays (85-64) by 2 1/2 games in the American League East. The Yankees lead the Astros (79-71) by four games for the first Wild Card spot.

Baseball Prospectus has the Yankees with a 99.7 percent chance of making the postseason, and a 19.4 percent chance of winning the division. FULL STANDINGS

Lineups

Clubhouse report

New York Yankees' Adam Warren pitches to the Tampa Bay Rays during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2015, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)

— Warren is tabbed to throw 80 to 85 pitches tonight. Girardi said that if Warren is able to get through six innings, he’d be thrilled.

— It looks like Dustin Ackley is the Yankees’ everyday second baseman, coming off last night’s three-run homer at Citi Field as well as some other big hits. Ackley’s reward is a nod against left-hander David Price tonight, and Girardi said that the Yankees are going to continue to give him opportunities.

Since coming off the DL (lumbar strain) earlier this month, Ackley is batting .409 (9-22 AB) with five extra-base hits (.864 slugging) in eleven games.

— Chris Young is usually in the lineup as the designated lefty masher, but Price has been a tough assignment for him. He’s just 1-for-14 vs. Price, so Young is on the bench.

— Nathan Eovaldi was not able to play catch today in New York, as was scheduled. He is still experiencing inflammation in his right elbow and will rest for another week. That rules out his return during the regular season, and if he is able to come back at all this year, it will be as a reliever in the postseason.

— Masahiro Tanaka had a good day working out at Yankee Stadium, testing that strained right hamstring. Girardi said that their plan is to reinstate him to the rotation the next turn through, sometime next week. There is a chance they would line him up to pitch the potential Wild Card playoff game.

MLB Network’s three to watch

Toronto Blue Jays' Russell Martin (55) celebrates with Ryan Goins (17) after hitting a two-run home run in the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves Wednesday, Sept. 16, 2015, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

Russell Martin is batting .318 (14-44 AB) with seven extra-base hits and 14 RBI in 13 games vs. the Yankees this season. Martin is expected back in the lineup Monday after getting a rest day on Sunday.

Brian McCann is 10-26 AB (.385) with three homers lifetime vs. Price.

Jacoby Ellsbury has seven hits in 16 at-bats over the last four games, following a stretch in which he batted .089 (5-56 AB) in his previous 14 games. Ellsbury is batting .354 (23-65 AB) with eight extra-base hits (.538 slugging) lifetime vs. Price.

Stat so?

Outside of Tanaka (2-2, 2.42 ERA in four starts vs. Toronto), the rest of the Yankees starting rotation is 2-6, 4.97 ERA vs. the Blue Jays this season.

On this date

2008: The Yankees play their final game at the original Yankee Stadium, defeating the Orioles, 7-3. Following the game, Derek Jeter addresses a crowd of more than 54,000, declaring Yankees fans “the greatest fans in the world.”

2014: Brett Gardner hits the 15,000th home run in Yankees history, in a 5-2 win vs. Toronto.

Quote to note

“They’ve hit better than we have. They’ve hit their share of homers off us, they’ve put up some big numbers on us and we have to control that. They’ve pitched very well, too. You look at the guys who are pitching; David Price has pitched very well, [Marco] Estrada has pitched very well against us and [Marcus] Stroman pitched well last year and pitched the one game well. Controlling their bats and keeping them away from big innings.” — Girardi, on the season series vs. Toronto.

1 Comment

Discounting the 30 runs in four games at Yankee Stadium are the Jays beginning to misfire a bit in September?

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