A-Rod projected to hit 12 homers this season

Would you be happy with 12 homers from Alex Rodriguez this season?

Would you be happy with 12 homers from Alex Rodriguez this season?

It’s that time again: MLB.com’s 2015 Fantasy Projections are ready for the season, and they provide a fun flash-forward for what might be on the back of next year’s baseball cards.

There are no guarantees, of course, but here’s what the number-crunchers are seeing in their crystal balls for the Yankees’ key players. My eyes were immediately drawn to the stat line for Alex Rodriguez, where they’ve given him 12 homers. That’d account for the six necessary to catch Willie Mays (660) and then some, but it falls well below the over-under line of 19 1/2 for A-Rod homers that has been floating around on social media.

I think you’d probably take these lines for McCann, Ellsbury and Beltran in their respective second seasons wearing pinstripes. You definitely accept that kind of year from Drew; it’s a lot closer to where he was in 2013 with Boston. They’ve apparently put Adam Warren back in the bullpen and the Yankees are giving random starts to an awful lot of starting pitchers (but such is life in the Bronx).

I think Masahiro Tanaka’s numbers of 14-10 and a 3.02 ERA might be a bit conservative assuming a full season of health. And poor Brendan Ryan can’t crack the Mendoza line even in a preseason simulation. But don’t take my word for it, look for yourself:

C: Brian McCann, .251, 66 R, 25 HR, 78 RBI, 1 SB
1B: Mark Teixeira, .227, 60 R, 22 HR, 66 RBI, 1 SB
2B: Stephen Drew, .240, 50 R, 10 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB
3B: Chase Headley, .269, 74 R, 19 HR, 71 RBI, 10 SB
SS: Didi Gregorius, .247, 54 R, 11 HR, 48 RBI, 5 SB
LF: Brett Gardner, .266, 86 R, 13 HR, 57 RBI, 21 SB
CF: Jacoby Ellsbury, .281, 84 R, 15 HR, 70 RBI, 37 SB
RF: Carlos Beltran, .268, 65 R, 22 HR, 70 RBI, 3 SB
DH: Alex Rodriguez, .251, 47 R, 12 HR, 51 RBI, 1 SB

OF: Chris Young, .232, 34 R, 11 HR, 33 RBI, 9 SB
1B: Garrett Jones, .256, 38 R, 12 HR, 43 RBI, 1 SB
2B: Rob Refsnyder, .247, 24 R, 3 HR, 19 RBI, 2 SB
SS: Brendan Ryan, .193, 11 R, 1 HR, 8 RBI, 2 SB

SP: Masahiro Tanaka, 14-10, 3.02 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 170 K
SP: Michael Pineda, 10-9, 3.38 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 144 K
SP: CC Sabathia, 10-11, 4.08 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 145 K
SP: Nathan Eovaldi, 11-11, 3.92 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 150 K
SP: Ivan Nova, 6-7, 4.00 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 85 K
SP: Chris Capuano, 6-8, 4.17 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 89 K
SP: Chase Whitley, 2-3, 3.95 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 57 K
SP: Scott Baker, 4-5, 4.80 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 50 K

RP: Dellin Betances, 25 SV, 2.13 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 104 K
RP: Andrew Miller, 15 SV, 2.49 ERA, 0.95 ERA, 90 K
RP: David Carpenter, 0 SV, 3.48 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 64 K
RP: Adam Warren, 0 SV, 3.41 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 89 K

Agree? Disagree? Hit the box below with your commentary.

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