MLB.com takes a crack at projecting the Yankees’ 2014 stats

MLB.com is predicting a solid farewell campaign for Yankees captain Derek Jeter.

MLB.com is predicting a solid farewell campaign for Yankees captain Derek Jeter (.290 BA, 10 HR, 59 RBIs).

MLB.com’s 2014 Fantasy Projections are ready for the season, and they provide a fun flash-forward for what might be on the back of next year’s baseball cards.

There are no guarantees, of course — they had Derek Jeter logging 563 at-bats last year while hitting .297, and we know that didn’t happen — but here’s what the number-crunchers are seeing in their crystal balls for the Yankees’ key players.

I think that Jeter would sign on the dotted line right now if you guaranteed that this is how his final Major League season would play out.

I’ll be bookmarking this blog post to come back later in the year and check how things are shaping up.

C Brian McCann: .271, 68 R, 26 HR, 88 RBI, 2 SB
1B Mark Teixeira: .249, 81 R, 26 HR, 94 RBI, 1 SB
2B Brian Roberts: .253, 35 R, 6 HR, 40 RBI, 3 SB
SS Derek Jeter: .290, 68 R, 10 HR, 59 RBI, 4 SB
3B Kelly Johnson: .244, 69 R, 20 HR, 70 RBI, 12 SB
LF Brett Gardner: .264, 83 R, 7 HR, 48 RBI, 32 SB
CF Jacoby Ellsbury: .293, 94 R, 14 HR, 64 RBI, 42 SB
RF Carlos Beltran: .277, 72 R, 29 HR, 87 RBI, 3 SB
DH Alfonso Soriano: .250, 71 R, 26 HR, 89 RBI, 8 SB

C Francisco Cervelli: .267, 21 R, 3 HR, 23 RBI, 1 SB
C Austin Romine: .200, 3 R, 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB
IF Eduardo Nunez: .256, 33 R, 3 HR, 30 RBI, 12 SB
IF Brendan Ryan: .240, 22 R, 6 HR, 25 RBI, 1 SB
IF Scott Sizemore: .240, 18 R, 4 HR, 17 RBI, 1 SB
OF Ichiro Suzuki: .268, 34 R, 4 HR, 25 RBI, 11 SB
OF Zoilo Almonte: .254, 6 R, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 1 SB

LHP CC Sabathia: 15-11, 3.98 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 177 K
RHP Hiroki Kuroda: 14-11, 3.59 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 144 K
RHP Ivan Nova: 13-9, 3.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 147 K
RHP Masahiro Tanaka: 15-10, 3.55 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 184 K
RHP Michael Pineda: 9-8, 4.31 ERA, 1.29 ERA, 147 K
RHP David Phelps: 7-7, 4.23 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 96 K

RHP David Robertson: 38 SV, 2.63 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 74 K
LHP Matt Thornton: 0 SV, 3.75 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 53 K

Agree? Disagree? Hit the box below with your commentary.

14 Comments

I think Gardner would be in the 100 run range with a batting average at about 275, and Jeter would be more in the 100 run range and maybe 90 rbi’s for Ellsbury. i agree with about everything else.

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Those number would have them right in the 90-92 win range, which is about right. If this year’s team stays reasonably healthy, they should at the very least seriously contend for a division title, let alone a playoff spot.

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I think with Ellsbury and Gardner having the green light all the time, I think 50 sb from both of them. I think Ryan, Kelly, or Johnson will have a career year and bat .300. Suddenly be a Aaron Boone or Scott Brosius surprise you with a huge homerun in a clutch situation type guys. I think Beltran has the red light for stealing bases, so I go with 0 sb. . Cervelli has more speed than you would think, I say 13sb from him. And Nunez will find his way back to the 25 man roster and steal 25.

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Yankees wont win 70 games with this team , cc will be 7 and 16

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Are you trying to be funny or are you actually stupid?

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there is no way that the yankees are not gonna have a batter above .300. Elsbury and Jeter

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I thought Anonymous was Robert but I suspect its Matt?

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I expect the following;
1. CF Ellsbury, 22 HRs, 73 RBIs, .309 BA, 102 RS, 47 SB (133 Games)
2. SS Jeter, 7 HRs, 44 RBIs, .286 BA, 75 RS, 7 SB (122 Games)
3. IB Texeira, 14 HRs, 71 RBIs, .243 BA, 62 RS, 1 SB (125 Geames)
4. RF Beltran, 30 HRs, 93 RBIs, .277 BA, 65 RS, 11 SB (140 Games)
5. C Brian McCann, 27 HRs, 83 RBIs, .255 BA, 63 RS, 7 SB (150 Games)
6. DH Soriano, 33 HRs, 75 RBIs, .262 BA, 66 RS, 4 SB (132 Games)
7. 3B Johnson, 12 HRs, 51 RBIs, .234 BA, 43 RS, 6 SB (125 Games)
8. 2B Roberts, 5 HRs, 24 RBIs, .267 BA, 35 RS, 10 SB (95 Games)
9. LF Gardner, 8 HRs, 57 RBIs, .271 BA, 85 RS, 33 SB (147 Games)
10. OF Suzuki, 5 HRs, 27 RBIs, .275 BA, 44 RS, 11 SB (75 Games)
11. IF Anna, 5 HRs, 22 RBIs, .261 BA, 35 RS, 4 SB (70 Games)
12. IF Solarte, 3 HRs,16 RBIs, .286 BA, 23 RS, 7 SB (50 Games)
13. IF Ryan, 1 HR, 11 RBIs, .222 BA, 14 RS, 2 SB (47 Games)
14. C Cervelli, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, .266 BA, 22 RS, 5 SB, (64 Games)

Pitching;

1. LH Sabathia, 17-12, 3.69 ERA, 175 SO, 1.22 WHIP (180 IP)
2. RH Kuroda, 14-10, 3.25 ERA, 143 SO, 1.17 WHIP (175 IP)
3. RH Nova, 14-9, 3.89 ERA, 155 SO, 1.26 WHIP (190 IP)
4. RH Tanaka, 16-6, 2.75 ERA, 207 SO, 1.09 WHIP (170 IP)
5. RH Pineda, 12-9, 3.44 ERA, 171 SO, 1.29 WHIP (160 IP)

6. RH Phelps, 4-3, 3.50 ERA, 76 SO, 1.34 WHIP (50 IP)
7. LH Warren, 2-4, 4.00 ERA, 28 SO, 1.33 WHIP (35 IP)
8. LH Nuno, 3-4, 3.33 ERA, 35 SO, 1.23 WHIP (40 IP)
9. RH Kelley, 1-4, 3.67 ERA, 44 SO, 1.25 WHIP (66IP), 3 Saves, 2 BS
10. LH Thornton, 2-5, 3.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, (52 IP)
11. RH Betances, 4-1, 2.67 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, (55 IP), 7 Saves, 2 BS
12. RH Robertson, 3-7, 2.55 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, (62 IP), 33 Saves, 7 BS

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I had the 5 top starters at 65 wins, so you’re right there (66)

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if Brendan Ryan has enough ab’s to hit 6 homeruns we are in trouble lol

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Bob, he’s the primary back up to Jeter. He was slated to fill in late in games but also on DH and off days for Jeter. That plan may have changed, he’s headed to extended spring training.

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This is fantasy alright. Look at these projected numbers and see how they translate against their payroll. Lot of money questionably spent.

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C Brian McCann: .271, 68 R, 26 HR, 88 RBI, 2 SB (I expect .285/25/85)
1B Mark Teixeira: .249, 81 R, 26 HR, 94 RBI, 1 SB (.240/30/100)
2B Brian Roberts: .253, 35 R, 6 HR, 40 RBI, 3 SB (.240/5/40)
SS Derek Jeter: .290, 68 R, 10 HR, 59 RBI, 4 SB (This one is tricky, last time he was out any serious time he came back & smacked a .314 average, but I’ll go with .290/9/50)
3B Kelly Johnson: .244, 69 R, 20 HR, 70 RBI, 12 SB (average looks about right, I’d say closer to 15/65 hr/rbi though)
LF Brett Gardner: .264, 83 R, 7 HR, 48 RBI, 32 SB (.280/5/60 – I’ve also got him down for 100 runs if he’s batting 8th/9th)
CF Jacoby Ellsbury: .293, 94 R, 14 HR, 64 RBI, 42 SB (.300/20/75 – also got him over 100 runs – SB like Gardy is around what I’d look for)
RF Carlos Beltran: .277, 72 R, 29 HR, 87 RBI, 3 SB (.295/30/100)
DH Alfonso Soriano: .250, 71 R, 26 HR, 89 RBI, 8 SB (.240/30/95)
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Just my own thoughts, I’d be happy with the projections from Cervelli, it will take a miracle for Brendan Ryan to hit 6 big flies though! Think Robertson will wind up north of 40 saves & wouldn’t surprise me to see atleast one 19 game winner on the staff either. Going to predict a gold glove for Ellsbury & a silver slugger for McCann on top of all that with Tanaka getting discussion for Cy Young honours.

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